Updated 1pm Friday October 11th 2019 by Gavin Gallagher
Typhoon Hagibis is on track to make landfall in Japan on Saturday, October 12th. According to the Japan Meteorological Agency, this typhoon will be their most powerful storm of the year.
The centre of the storm is currently (1pm Friday) located 550 km south of the Japanese mainland and approx 750km south-southwest of Tokyo.
It currently has sustained winds of over 200km/h with gusts of 260km/h. This is equivalent to a Category Four hurricane in the North Atlantic.
It is forecasted that Hagibis will continue to track northwards then gradually turn towards the northeast this evening. Slow but steady weakening is anticipated during Saturday prior to landfall. Landfall is expected around 24 hours from now (10am Irish time, 6pm local Japanese time) with the current forecast bringing the centre of Hagibis passing close to the Tokyo area around 4pm Irish time Saturday, midnight local Japanese time.
Hagibis will then accelerate quickly out to sea to the east of Japan on Sunday.
Numerical weather forecasting model guidance remains in good agreement in terms of direction and speed and there is high confidence in the forecast track.
The Japanese Meteorological Agency has warned of strong winds, very heavy rain along with high waves and storm surge with coastal inundation.
Relevant links:Japanese Meteorological Agency Warnings https://www.jma.go.jp/en/warn/index.html
Japanese Meteorological Agency Weather Forecast https://www.jma.go.jp/en/week/
Japanese Meteorological Agency Typhoon Information https://www.jma.go.jp/en/typh/
Joint Typhoon warning Centre https://www.metoc.navy.mil/jtwc/jtwc.html
Ireland play Samoa in the Rugby World Cup at 11:45am Saturday morning Irish time (7:45pm local Japanese time) in Fukuoka. Fukuoka is in the far southwest of the Japanese mainland and is not expected to be directly affected by Typhoon Hagibis.
The weather forecast for Ireland v Samoa on Saturday is dry and cloudy, it will be breezy with a temperature of 20°C.